- Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 24?25¢
- Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 24?37¢
- Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on August 24?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on August 24?8¢
- Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on August 24?5¢
- Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 63°F or below on August 24?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 82°F or higher on August 24?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on August 24?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on August 24?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 24?20¢
- Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 24?8¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on August 24, 2026, call for a high near 67°F under partly cloudy skies with onshore southwest-to-west winds of 10–20 mph strengthening in the afternoon, consistent with the dominant marine layer that typically caps summer highs in the city. This aligns with the market’s concentration on 68–73°F outcomes, where traders appear to incorporate minor model spread, microclimate differences between downtown stations and the airport, and the long-term August average high of roughly 70°F. Persistent onshore flow and a shallow marine layer suppress stronger warming despite clear periods, keeping probabilities for 74°F+ low while historical precedents for the date show occasional excursions above 75°F only under rare offshore wind events. Today’s official observations will resolve the market directly.