This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest numerical weather models show mostly sunny skies over Qingdao on September 7 with light northeast to northerly winds, supporting afternoon highs near 28–29 °C. This places the market’s near-even split between 30 °C (42.5 %) and 31 °C (44 %) in line with minor ensemble spread: some runs capture stronger solar heating under clear conditions while others include a modest sea-breeze cooling effect from the Yellow Sea. Historical September averages near 26 °C and current stable high-pressure pattern limit upside beyond 32 °C, though small revisions in boundary-layer moisture or wind timing could still nudge the recorded maximum between the two leading outcomes before official verification.