- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C or below on September 4?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 4?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 4?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 4?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on September 4?17¢
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on September 4?42¢
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on September 4?32¢
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on September 4?7¢
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on September 4?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on September 4?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C or higher on September 4?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Numerical weather prediction models from global and regional centers indicate a moderate high-pressure ridge over eastern China, positioning daytime highs in Qingdao near 31–32°C on September 4 amid partly cloudy skies and light onshore flow from the Yellow Sea. These conditions limit extreme heating while sea surface temperatures slightly above seasonal norms support the market’s leading outcomes at 31°C (42.5%) and 32°C (31.5%). Early September climatology for the coastal city averages 28–30°C, and recent ensemble runs show only modest upward adjustments without signals of stronger subsidence or reduced cloud cover. Traders await the next China Meteorological Administration forecast update and local station observations for any last adjustments before resolution.