- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C or below on September 1?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on September 1?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on September 1?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on September 1?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on September 1?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 1?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 1?10¢
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 1?49¢
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on September 1?37¢
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on September 1?7¢
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C or higher on September 1?2¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast model runs from sources including the ECMWF, GFS, and regional meteorological agencies converge on a daily maximum of 27–29 °C for Qingdao on September 1, driven by persistent northerly flow and partly cloudy conditions that limit daytime heating. This places the highest probability on 29 °C or 30 °C in the market, with 28 °C receiving lower implied odds due to model consensus around slightly warmer outcomes near the historical early-September baseline of 26 °C. Stable atmospheric patterns with minimal precipitation risk and light-to-moderate winds have produced little day-to-day variability in guidance over the past 48 hours, supporting the current trader consensus while leaving room for last-minute adjustments from updated model data ahead of resolution.