- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C or below on August 31?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on August 31?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on August 31?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on August 31?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on August 31?7¢
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on August 31?40¢
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on August 31?48¢
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 31?7¢
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on August 31?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on August 31?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C or higher on August 31?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts for Qingdao on August 31 show partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds around 6-10 mph, and minimal precipitation risk, supporting daytime heating under moderate humidity levels near 70%. Official and ensemble models indicate peak temperatures clustered between 26-30°C (roughly 79-86°F), with recent model runs highlighting subtle differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing that separate a 30°C versus 31°C outcome. Trader consensus, reflected in the near-even 39-48% split between these leading resolutions, aligns with this narrow uncertainty range typical of late-summer coastal conditions where small variations in solar insolation or sea-breeze effects can shift the daily maximum by 1°C. Updated model guidance expected overnight will likely refine the final distribution ahead of market close.