- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C or below on August 25?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on August 25?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on August 25?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on August 25?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on August 25?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on August 25?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on August 25?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 25?18¢
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on August 25?59¢
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on August 25?22¢
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C or higher on August 25?2¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent ensemble forecasts from regional and global models position a daily maximum near 33°C as the most probable outcome for Qingdao on August 25, driven by persistent summer warmth, light southerly flow, and partly cloudy skies that limit strong sea-breeze cooling. Coastal location and typical August climatology (average highs 29–31°C) support this range, while recent observations of 30–32°C highs on preceding days reinforce trader confidence in 33–34°C resolution. Key uncertainties include potential afternoon convection or thicker cloud cover that could cap readings at 32°C or allow brief spikes toward 34°C, with updated model runs and official CMA guidance expected to refine the outlook before market close.