- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C or below on August 23?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on August 23?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on August 23?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on August 23?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on August 23?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on August 23?14¢
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on August 23?28¢
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on August 23?34¢
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 23?17¢
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on August 23?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C or higher on August 23?<1¢
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent model guidance from global ensembles and the China Meteorological Administration indicates Qingdao's August 23 maximum temperature will likely peak near 29–30 °C under persistent onshore flow from the Yellow Sea, which moderates daytime heating through elevated humidity and marine air advection. Scattered thunderstorms expected during peak insolation hours introduce the main uncertainty, as variable cloud cover and precipitation timing can suppress or allow brief surface warming by 1–2 °C. With 31 °C and 30 °C outcomes nearly tied in the market, traders weigh subtle differences in forecast soundings—specifically boundary-layer moisture and convective initiation—against climatological August averages near 29–30 °C. Updated CMA guidance and afternoon model runs will clarify whether stronger subsidence or clearer breaks materialize to push readings higher.