Highest temperature in Qingdao on August 17?
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C or below on August 17?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on August 17?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on August 17?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on August 17?11¢
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 17?31¢
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on August 17?43¢
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on August 17?14¢
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 17?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C on August 17?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 37°C on August 17?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 38°C or higher on August 17?<1¢
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast models from sources like timeanddate and local Chinese meteorological services project a daily high of 31–33°C in Qingdao for August 17, driven by persistent cloud cover, light southerly winds, and the moderating influence of the Yellow Sea that typically limits coastal extremes. Historical August baselines average 29–31°C, with recent early-month heat warnings in inland Shandong (peaking above 37°C) easing as a weaker frontal system approaches. This consensus aligns with market-implied odds favoring 32–33°C outcomes, while the low probability assigned to 34°C+ reflects limited daytime heating under overcast conditions and potential scattered showers. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.