Highest temperature in Qingdao on August 16?
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C or below on August 16?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on August 16?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on August 16?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on August 16?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on August 16?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on August 16?8¢
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 16?27¢
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on August 16?42¢
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on August 16?22¢
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 16?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C or higher on August 16?<1¢
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Coastal Qingdao's maximum temperature on August 16 is shaped by summer solar heating moderated by Yellow Sea maritime influences, including sea breezes that often cap afternoon peaks. Current model consensus and short-range forecasts from sources like timeanddate, BBC, and regional outlooks point to highs of 29–32°C under partly cloudy skies with possible late showers, aligning with the historical August average near 29–30°C. Early-month heat across Shandong (reaching 35–40°C inland) has eased, reducing extreme-heat signals, while persistent cloud cover and humidity limit radiative warming. The market's clustering around 32–33°C (combined ~68% implied probability) reflects trader weighting of slightly warmer ensemble members and recent coastal observations above seasonal norms, with lower odds on 34°C+ or sub-31°C outcomes tied to forecast uncertainty in timing of any clearing or onshore flow.