- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C or below on September 7?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 7?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 7?7¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 7?14¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 7?41¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 7?27¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on September 7?11¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on September 7?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on September 7?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on September 7?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C or higher on September 7?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from agencies like Météo-France and international ensembles currently indicate a daytime maximum of 27–29°C for Paris on September 7, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and limited daytime heating. This range aligns with the market’s heaviest positioning on 28°C (40.5%) and 29°C (27.0%), reflecting trader consensus on modest warming from recent cooler, rainy conditions on September 6. The expected peak remains several degrees above the 1991–2020 September 7 climatological average high of roughly 23°C but well below historical extremes near 33°C. Key variables include afternoon cloud cover and any scattered showers that could suppress the maximum by 1–2°C, while clear spells or stronger insolation would favor the upper end of the 27–29°C envelope. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow will determine the final recorded high used for market resolution.