- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C or below on August 30?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on August 30?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on August 30?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on August 30?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on August 30?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on August 30?6¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 30?19¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 30?37¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on August 30?25¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 30?8¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C or higher on August 30?4¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent weather models from agencies including Météo-France and the Met Office indicate mild late-summer conditions over Paris on August 30, with daytime highs expected near the 1991–2020 climatological average of 24°C. A persistent southwesterly flow and increasing cloud cover are limiting insolation and suppressing strong afternoon heating, while light showers or drizzle in some guidance further cap temperature rise. These factors position 23–25°C as the most probable outcomes, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those bins. Recent days have featured below-normal highs around 22°C amid unsettled Atlantic air, reinforcing trader caution against exceeding seasonal norms absent a clear warming signal in the latest model runs.