- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on August 28?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on August 28?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on August 28?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on August 28?8¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on August 28?21¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 28?40¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 28?26¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on August 28?7¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or higher on August 28?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C or below on August 28?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on August 28?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts from Météo-France and global models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, position a maximum temperature of 22–24°C as the most likely outcome for Paris on August 28, driven by a passing cool front, persistent southwesterly flow, and widespread showers that limit daytime heating. This aligns with the historical seasonal average high of 24.2°C while reflecting the current below-normal pattern after earlier warm spells. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds places the strongest probability on 23°C, with meaningful support for 24°C and 22°C, as updated model guidance has shown little shift in the past 24–48 hours and resolution hinges on the precise peak reading from official stations.