- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C or below on August 26?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 26?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on August 26?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 26?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 26?6¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 26?22¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 26?40¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 26?23¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 26?6¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 26?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C or higher on August 26?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from Météo-France-aligned sources and models such as ECMWF place the highest temperature in Paris on August 26 near 28–30 °C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow and low precipitation risk. This range reflects a modest warm-air advection pattern persisting from the prior day, when observed highs reached 27–28 °C, combined with typical late-August climatology that favors afternoon peaks in this band absent strong frontal passages. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, with only modest upward or downward revisions possible from final model runs overnight. The market’s heaviest weighting on 29 °C (39.5 %) and adjacent 28–30 °C outcomes therefore tracks the current consensus maximum from authoritative numerical weather prediction output.