- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C or below on August 25?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 25?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 25?10¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on August 25?16¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 25?27¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 25?27¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 25?13¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 25?6¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 25?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 25?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C or higher on August 25?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from sources including Météo-France analogs and GFS runs indicate a high near 26–27 °C in Paris on August 25, 2026, driven by southwesterly flow, elevated dew points near 15 °C, and scattered thunderstorms that limit insolation and cap afternoon peaks. Recent cooling from northeasterly winds on August 23–24 has kept surface temperatures below late-August normals of ~24.5 °C, while increasing cloud cover and 40–70 % precipitation probability differentiate the 26 °C versus 27 °C outcomes through timing of convective initiation. Historical analogs show similar setups rarely exceed 28 °C when instability develops by midday. Updated model guidance and official briefings expected overnight will refine the exact maximum before markets resolve.