- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C or below on August 24?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 24?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on August 24?13¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 24?20¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 24?32¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 24?22¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 24?11¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 24?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 24?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 24?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C or higher on August 24?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a daytime maximum of 26–28°C for Paris on August 24, with 27°C emerging as the modal outcome due to moderate easterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and limited solar heating under a weak high-pressure ridge. Afternoon instability may trigger isolated showers or thunderstorms by evening, capping peak readings, while dew points near 10–12°C and winds of 4–6 m/s support efficient mixing. Historical August averages hover near 24.6°C, but recent above-normal warmth earlier in the month has traders weighting ensemble guidance that favors slight moderation tomorrow. Resolution hinges on official Météo-France or station observations, with small shifts in timing of cloud build-up or frontal passage able to swing the exact high between the closely matched 26–28°C outcomes.