- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C or below on August 22?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on August 22?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on August 22?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on August 22?16¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 22?48¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 22?26¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on August 22?6¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 22?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 22?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 22?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C or higher on August 22?<1¢
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent numerical weather prediction consensus from models including GFS places the Paris maximum on August 22 at 23–24°C under partly cloudy skies with light northerly flow, suppressing full seasonal warming. This aligns with observed cooling trends from August 20–21, when highs reached only 23–25°C amid increased cloud cover and Atlantic air advection rather than the 24.9°C 1991–2020 climatological average. Low precipitation probabilities (under 10%) and moderate humidity further limit convective heating, positioning 23°C as the market favorite at 47.5% implied probability while 24°C holds secondary support. Updated runs through the weekend will refine these ranges ahead of official Météo-France verification.