- Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 26°C on September 5?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on September 5?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on September 5?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on September 5?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on September 5?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on September 5?7¢
- Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 5?34¢
- Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on September 5?43¢
- Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C or higher on September 5?18¢
- Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 24°C or below on September 5?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 25°C on September 5?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts and real-time observations for Panama City, Panama, point to a daily maximum near 30–32°C under typical early-September wet-season conditions. Afternoon convective clouds and scattered thunderstorms, driven by the Intertropical Convergence Zone, are limiting solar heating and evaporative cooling, keeping most model guidance capped around 30°C. However, brief breaks in cloud cover or delayed rainfall could allow brief spikes toward 32–33°C, consistent with the market’s tight 41.5%–33.5% split between those two outcomes. Historical September maxima average near 31°C, with occasional excursions above 32°C when subsidence or reduced moisture advection occurs. Traders appear to weigh the latest mesoscale model runs showing modest instability against the high baseline humidity (often >80%) and prevailing easterly flow, which together create genuine uncertainty around the precise peak. Updated NHC or local meteorological service guidance on timing of convection will be the next key input.