- Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 23°C or below on September 3?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 24°C on September 3?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 25°C on September 3?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 26°C on September 3?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on September 3?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on September 3?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on September 3?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on September 3?6¢
- Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on September 3?23¢
- Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 3?40¢
- Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on September 3?28¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader consensus around 31–33°C for Panama City’s September 3 maximum reflects model agreement on typical wet-season conditions: strong diurnal heating under high humidity and light winds, offset by afternoon convective clouds and thunderstorms tied to the ITCZ. Official guidance and ensemble runs indicate a peak near 29–31°C, with precipitation probabilities exceeding 70% that often cap temperatures through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Historical September maxima average 30°C, and no anomalous ridge or suppressed convection is evident in recent analyses. The narrow spread between 32°C and 33°C+ outcomes stems from uncertainty in storm timing and intensity, with final resolution depending on the 12–18 UTC observation window.