This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts for Panama City, Panama, on August 28 point to a daytime maximum near 30–31°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms and light showers, consistent with the rainy season pattern driven by the Intertropical Convergence Zone. Afternoon convection and high humidity typically cap temperatures, preventing stronger heating despite the seasonal baseline. Historical August averages show daily highs of 30–31°C, with occasional peaks to 32–33°C only under clearer, drier conditions that are not indicated in today’s model guidance or observations. The market’s tight split between 31°C and 32°C reflects uncertainty in exact peak timing and cloud cover evolution, while probabilities for 33°C or higher remain minimal given the expected convective activity and lack of anomalous high-pressure setup. Updated regional guidance and real-time observations will refine the final recorded maximum.