This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader sentiment centers on 32–33°C as the most likely daily maximum for Panama City, Panama, on August 27, 2026, reflecting climatological norms and current forecast consensus. In this tropical wet-season environment, typical August highs average around 32°C amid high humidity and frequent afternoon convection. Official and model guidance, including local meteorological services, consistently projects afternoon peaks near 32–33°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms, which can cap temperatures through cloud cover and rainfall while preventing extreme heating. No anomalous heatwave or clear-sky setup has emerged to push values toward 34°C or higher, keeping lower outcomes (31°C and below) as lower-probability outliers. As the day progresses, updated observations from surface stations will determine the exact recorded maximum, with traders weighting the tight clustering of forecasts and historical August variability.