- Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on August 25?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on August 25?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on August 25?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on August 25?8¢
- Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 26°C or below on August 25?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on August 25?21¢
- Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on August 25?34¢
- Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on August 25?36¢
- Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on August 25?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 35°C on August 25?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 36°C or higher on August 25?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast consensus from models and agencies like the Met Office and AccuWeather centers on a daytime high near 31–32°C for Panama City on August 25, aligning with the market’s near-even split between those outcomes. Afternoon convection typical of the rainy season and Intertropical Convergence Zone often caps temperatures through cloud cover and showers, while clearer periods or stronger diurnal heating can push readings to 33°C. Trade wind strength, sea surface temperatures near 29°C, and the precise timing of thunderstorms differentiate the close probabilities, with recent model runs showing modest spread in maximums based on moisture influx from both ocean basins. Historical August averages hover near 29–30°C, underscoring how small shifts in atmospheric stability could tip the result.