- Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on August 24?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on August 24?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on August 24?9¢
- Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 36°C or higher on August 24?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 26°C or below on August 24?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on August 24?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on August 24?5¢
- Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on August 24?18¢
- Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on August 24?37¢
- Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on August 24?32¢
- Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 35°C on August 24?2¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts for Panama City highlight scattered thunderstorms and elevated humidity as the dominant controls capping the August 24 maximum near 32–33 °C. In Panama’s wet-season regime, frequent convective clouds and showers reduce incoming solar radiation while high moisture content suppresses surface heating, keeping readings aligned with long-term August averages of roughly 30–32 °C. Minor differences among model runs hinge on the precise timing and areal coverage of storms, which can either enhance or limit afternoon warming by a degree or two. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around these values because traders weigh the consistent guidance from regional meteorological sources against the inherent variability of tropical convection.