- Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 26°C or below on August 21?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on August 21?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on August 21?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on August 21?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on August 21?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on August 21?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on August 21?47¢
- Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on August 21?37¢
- Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on August 21?8¢
- Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 35°C on August 21?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 36°C or higher on August 21?<1¢
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts for Panama City, Panama, on August 21 point to a daily maximum near 33°C, aligning with trader emphasis on the 33°C and 32°C outcomes. In this tropical climate during the peak rainy season, afternoon convection and thunderstorm development—driven by high humidity, sea-breeze convergence, and typical ITCZ positioning—frequently limit peak heating, creating uncertainty between 32–34°C. Official guidance shows a forecast high of 92°F (33°C) under mostly cloudy skies with scattered storms, consistent with long-term August averages of 29–32°C. Minor differences in model timing of cloud cover, rainfall onset, or exact station measurement (e.g., Tocumen International) explain the close 46%/39% split between the leading bins, while the low 12.5% on 34°C reflects limited upside potential from suppressed convection. New observational data and updated model runs through the afternoon will refine resolution as the daily maximum is recorded.