- Will the highest temperature in New York City be 69°F or below on August 29?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on August 29?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on August 29?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 29?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 29?19¢
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 29?47¢
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 29?23¢
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 29?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 29?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 29?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be 88°F or higher on August 29?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance indicate mostly sunny conditions across New York City on August 29 under building high pressure and northwest flow, with daytime highs expected in the low 80s amid seasonal norms near 81°F. This setup, following a frontal passage that introduced cooler, drier air, supports the market's heavy weighting toward 78–79°F (51%) as the implied consensus, while 80–81°F (22.5%) and 76–77°F (18.5%) capture residual uncertainty in exact peak readings at official stations like Central Park. Low precipitation chances and light winds further limit upward spikes, though minor model variations in boundary-layer mixing could shift the daily maximum within a narrow range. Updated NWS briefings and next model runs will provide the key near-term signals for traders.