- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 28?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 28?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 28?23¢
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 28?43¢
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 28?26¢
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 28?6¢
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 28?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be 90°F or higher on August 28?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be 71°F or below on August 28?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on August 28?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 28?6¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts position New York City for a highest temperature near 83°F on August 28, with partly sunny skies, light west winds, and afternoon humidity supporting modest heating amid a 40% chance of showers or thunderstorms. These conditions follow overnight storms on August 27 that cleared some cloud cover but maintained elevated moisture, capping stronger warming. The implied probability peaks at 82–83°F (41.5%) because official guidance centers there, with 84–85°F (25%) and 80–81°F (22%) as plausible ranges given typical forecast uncertainty and resolution criteria tied to official observations. Historical August averages near 82–83°F provide additional context for trader positioning.