- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 24?50¢
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 24?11¢
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 24?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be 86°F or higher on August 24?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be 67°F or below on August 24?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on August 24?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on August 24?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on August 24?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 24?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 24?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 24?36¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest National Weather Service and model guidance for New York City on August 24 point to a high in the upper 70s to low 80s, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting on the 78–81°F bins. Cooler-than-average conditions stem from a lingering maritime air mass, light southwesterly flow, and partial cloud cover that limits daytime heating, keeping readings below the 83°F August climatological normal at Central Park. Recent runs show minimal model spread, with little indication of stronger ridging or downslope warming that would push temperatures higher. Traders appear to be pricing in this stable, near-term forecast consensus ahead of any final observational adjustments on the 24th.