- Will the highest temperature in New York City be 73°F or below on August 23?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 23?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 23?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 23?6¢
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 23?31¢
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 23?47¢
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 23?14¢
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 23?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 23?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on August 23?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be 92°F or higher on August 23?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service guidance centers the August 23 high in New York City near 82°F beneath mostly cloudy skies and a 50% chance of showers, anchoring trader consensus on the 80–83°F bins that together exceed 75% implied probability. Persistent cloud cover limits daytime heating while scattered precipitation and northeasterly flow enhance evaporative cooling, keeping surface temperatures below the long-term Central Park normal of 83°F. Ensemble model runs show limited spread around this value, with only modest upside risk if skies clear earlier than expected. Updated NWS forecast discussions and morning model cycles tomorrow will provide the final inputs before the market resolves at midnight.