- Will the highest temperature in New York City be 67°F or below on August 22?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on August 22?5¢
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 22?23¢
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 22?45¢
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 22?24¢
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 22?6¢
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 22?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 22?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be 86°F or higher on August 22?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on August 22?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on August 22?2¢
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models project a daily maximum near 77–78°F in New York City on August 22 under mostly cloudy skies with showers likely and northeast winds of 5–10 mph. These conditions suppress daytime heating relative to the 83°F climatological average at Central Park by limiting solar insolation and advecting cooler marine air. Recent model runs show tight consensus around mid-to-upper 70s readings, with modest spread tied to the exact timing of any clearing or heavier precipitation bands from the passing system. This scientific setup underpins trader positioning, with the 76–77°F outcome leading at 44.5% implied probability while adjacent bins capture residual forecast uncertainty ahead of final observations.