Highest temperature in NYC on August 15?
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be 75°F or below on August 15?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 15?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 15?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 15?9¢
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 15?45¢
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 15?38¢
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 15?7¢
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 15?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on August 15?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on August 15?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be 94°F or higher on August 15?<1¢
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current National Weather Service guidance for New York City points to a sunny Saturday with a high near 82°F as the dominant driver behind the closely matched market probabilities for 82-83°F and 84-85°F. Subtle differences in forecast model runs, including the strength of the Bermuda High and any residual moisture or wind shifts, determine whether peak heating stays at the lower or upper end of the mid-80s range, while the urban heat island effect and exact timing of maximum insolation add further variability. With August climatology showing average highs near 83°F, traders weigh these near-term model updates against the risk of minor forecast adjustments before resolution.