- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C or below on September 8?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on September 8?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on September 8?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on September 8?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on September 8?22¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on September 8?52¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on September 8?21¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on September 8?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on September 8?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on September 8?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C or higher on September 8?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest high-resolution forecasts from global and European models, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, show Munich under clear to partly cloudy skies with southerly flow on September 8, driving a daytime maximum near 31–32°C. This setup exceeds the 1991–2020 average high of 20.9°C and approaches or surpasses the 29.6°C all-time record for the date. Low humidity and light winds support efficient daytime heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation to moderate temperatures. Minor differences among model runs create a narrow uncertainty band around the peak, aligning with the market-implied distribution that places the strongest probability on 32°C while assigning meaningful weight to adjacent values. Updated model guidance and official observations tomorrow morning will refine the exact maximum ahead of market resolution.