This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from sources including the German Weather Service and GFS consensus indicate a September 7 high in Munich near 26–27 °C, driven by moderate westerly flow, increasing afternoon cloud cover, and limited insolation that caps daytime warming. This places the outcome well above the 1991–2020 average high of 21 °C yet below the 29.6 °C record, consistent with late-summer conditions featuring scattered showers or thunderstorms that further moderate temperatures. Recent model runs show tight clustering around these values with low spread, supporting the market’s heaviest volume on 27 °C followed by 26 °C and 28 °C. Final official observations from Munich stations will determine resolution once the day concludes.