- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C or below on September 3?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on September 3?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on September 3?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on September 3?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 3?14¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 3?47¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on September 3?35¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on September 3?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on September 3?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on September 3?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C or higher on September 3?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts from sources including the German Weather Service models and international ensembles indicate a maximum temperature of 24–26°C for Munich on September 3, driven by moderate westerly flow, persistent cloud cover, and limited daytime insolation that curbs surface heating relative to clear-sky scenarios. This consensus aligns with the market’s heaviest positioning on 25°C and 26°C outcomes, reflecting trader aggregation of model runs updated through September 2. Climatologically, the long-term average high stands near 22°C, with recent September 3 readings ranging from 23–29°C, yet current steering patterns and dew-point profiles favor values near the upper end of the near-term forecast envelope without supporting extremes above 27°C or below 24°C. Final resolution awaits the day’s official maximum observation.