- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C or below on September 2?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on September 2?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on September 2?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on September 2?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 2?25¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 2?56¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on September 2?17¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on September 2?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on September 2?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on September 2?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C or higher on September 2?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high of 24–26°C for Munich on September 2, 2026, under stable high pressure with light northwest winds and partly cloudy skies that limit extreme daytime heating while permitting modest warming above the 22°C climatological average. This consensus, with minimal recent model divergence and low precipitation risk, positions 25°C as the modal outcome and explains its 55.5% market-implied probability, followed by 24°C and 26°C. Traders are weighting the latest official guidance showing no significant warm advection or clear-sky intensification that would push readings higher.