- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or below on September 1?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on September 1?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on September 1?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on September 1?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on September 1?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on September 1?23¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 1?56¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 1?17¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on September 1?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on September 1?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on September 1?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast models from sources including WeatherBug, Yr, and Globalmeteo converge on a September 1 high of 23–24°C in Munich under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and high pressure near 1021 hPa. This stable synoptic pattern, with minimal cloud cover and seasonal northerly flow components, supports temperatures near or slightly above the 1991–2020 average high of 22.2°C while limiting extreme warming. Trader consensus, reflected in the 55% implied probability for 24°C, aligns with these model runs and the low chance of precipitation or significant advection changes ahead of resolution.