- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C or below on August 28?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on August 28?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on August 28?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 28?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 28?11¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 28?22¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 28?32¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 28?14¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on August 28?8¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on August 28?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C or higher on August 28?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from agencies like the DWD and ECMWF indicate Munich will reach a maximum near 28–29°C on August 28 under partly sunny conditions, with trader consensus clustering on these outcomes due to consistent guidance for modest radiative heating before afternoon convective development. Thunderstorm initiation expected after peak insolation—driven by southwesterly flow and boundary-layer moisture—introduces the main uncertainty, as earlier or stronger storms could suppress the daily high by several degrees through evaporative cooling and reduced solar input, while delayed activity would favor a brief spike toward 30°C. This range aligns with above-average late-August climatology yet remains sensitive to mesoscale timing and urban heat retention in the city center. Updated model runs and observational data ahead of resolution will likely refine the implied probabilities further.