- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or below on August 24?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on August 24?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on August 24?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on August 24?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on August 24?12¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on August 24?28¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on August 24?38¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on August 24?9¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 24?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 24?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on August 24?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest European forecast models, including Met Office and ECMWF runs, project a maximum temperature of 23–24°C in Munich on August 24 under partly cloudy conditions with light northerly flow and minimal daytime heating. This consensus aligns with the market's tight clustering on those outcomes, as recent surface analyses show stable high pressure without significant warm-air advection or strong insolation. Seasonal climatology places late-August normals near 23°C, and the absence of heatwave setups or cold fronts keeps probabilities balanced between adjacent brackets. Traders monitor afternoon updates for cloud-cover revisions that could shift the peak by 1–2°C before resolution.