- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C or below on August 21?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on August 21?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on August 21?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on August 21?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on August 21?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on August 21?10¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on August 21?14¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on August 21?32¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on August 21?24¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on August 21?13¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C or higher on August 21?7¢
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast guidance from the UK Met Office and BBC Weather centers Munich’s August 21 maximum near 21–22 °C amid light westerly flow, modest daytime heating, and a chance of thundery showers that could cap afternoon peaks through increased cloud cover. Trader consensus, reflected in the near-even split between the 21 °C and 22 °C outcomes, aligns with ensemble model runs showing limited deviation from late-August climatology, where highs typically decline toward 20–23 °C. Key variables include the timing and coverage of any convection, which can suppress insolation and alter the observed high by 1–2 °C, as well as the precise steering of weak frontal boundaries. Updated model cycles and satellite observations over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds before resolution.