- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C or below on August 20?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on August 20?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on August 20?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on August 20?7¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on August 20?15¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on August 20?25¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 20?27¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 20?15¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 20?5¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 20?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C or higher on August 20?<1¢
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent ensemble guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and German Weather Service (DWD) places Munich’s August 20 maximum near 25–26 °C, with the market’s tight clustering on those two bins reflecting model spread in the precise peak. A building ridge and weakening westerly flow are expected to allow greater daytime insolation and modest warm-air advection, yet residual cloud cover and possible scattered showers could cap temperatures below historical late-August norms. Key variables include boundary-layer mixing depth, low-level moisture, and the exact timing of any frontal passage—factors that differentiate a 24 °C versus 27 °C outcome in short-range runs. Updated model cycles over the next 48 hours will likely tighten or shift these probabilities.