Highest temperature in Munich on August 15?
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C on August 15?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 38°C on August 15?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 39°C or higher on August 15?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C or below on August 15?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 15?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on August 15?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on August 15?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on August 15?12¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 15?28¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 15?45¢
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 15?14¢
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast runs from European models show Munich under persistent high pressure with clear skies and light southerly flow, supporting afternoon highs of 32–34°C on August 15, which underpins the market’s emphasis on 34°C and 35°C outcomes. Official guidance from the German Weather Service and ECMWF ensembles indicates limited cloud cover and minimal mixing overnight, allowing strong diurnal heating above the long-term August average of roughly 24°C. Minor model spread around boundary-layer moisture and exact wind direction creates the tight clustering between 34–36°C, while the low probability assigned to 37°C+ reflects the absence of stronger warm-air advection or subsidence reinforcement in current guidance. Updated model cycles tonight and tomorrow morning will refine these implied probabilities ahead of market resolution.