- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C or below on September 8?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 8°C on September 8?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on September 8?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on September 8?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on September 8?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on September 8?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on September 8?5¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on September 8?68¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 8?5¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C or higher on September 8?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on September 8?24¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official Russian Hydrometeorological Center forecasts for September 8, 2026, project Moscow daytime highs of 15–17°C under partly cloudy skies with northwesterly winds at 4–11 m/s and minimal precipitation risk, positioning 15°C as the market leader at 70.5% implied probability. Cooler-than-average early-September conditions, driven by regional high pressure and advection of maritime air, have suppressed temperatures relative to the ~18°C climatological norm, while model consensus and recent observations favor the lower end of the range. Trader sentiment reflects these verified agency outlooks and the limited time remaining for significant warming, though minor upward revisions remain possible if afternoon insolation exceeds expectations.