- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 6°C or below on September 7?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C on September 7?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 8°C on September 7?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on September 7?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on September 7?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on September 7?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on September 7?17¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on September 7?49¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on September 7?28¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on September 7?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C or higher on September 7?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and national meteorological sources, indicate a northwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air into the Moscow region on September 7, with daytime highs expected to peak near 13–14 °C under mostly cloudy skies and light northwesterly winds of 4–5 m/s. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, with minimal warming potential due to persistent cloud cover and possible light precipitation. This represents a notable departure from the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 18.1 °C, reflecting the influence of a recent cold front that has suppressed temperatures since early September. Traders appear to have priced the highest probability on 13 °C, consistent with the tight clustering of operational and ensemble runs. Updated model guidance expected overnight may refine the exact maximum before resolution.