- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on August 30?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on August 30?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on August 30?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on August 30?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on August 30?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C or below on August 30?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on August 30?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on August 30?53¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on August 30?45¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on August 30?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C or higher on August 30?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and international models project a Moscow high of 20–22°C on August 30 under southerly winds of 6–11 m/s, variable cloud cover, and possible light rain that limits daytime heating. This positions 21°C and 22°C as the closest outcomes, with traders weighing minor differences in solar insolation from cloud timing, precipitation efficiency, and urban heat effects. Late-August climatology supports averages near 20–22°C, but forecast uncertainty from model spread on boundary-layer moisture and steering keeps probabilities nearly even. Real-time station data and updated runs will resolve the exact maximum.