- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on August 20?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C or below on August 20?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on August 20?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on August 20?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on August 20?14¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on August 20?42¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on August 20?36¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on August 20?8¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on August 20?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on August 20?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C or higher on August 20?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent short-term forecasts from sources like the UK Met Office and timeanddate.com indicate Moscow highs near 21–22°C on August 20 under partly cloudy skies with light winds, limiting strong diurnal heating and aligning with the closely matched market odds on those outcomes. Subtle differences in cloud-cover timing and boundary-layer moisture across model runs, including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, can shift peak readings by 1–2°C, creating the tight clustering around 20–22°C. Late-summer climatology, with average August highs near 20–22°C, provides baseline context, while any revisions in steering patterns or moisture advection ahead of the 48-hour window will refine probabilities before official observations resolve the market.