Highest temperature in Moscow on August 18?
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C or below on August 18?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on August 18?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on August 18?5¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on August 18?46¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on August 18?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C or higher on August 18?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on August 18?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on August 18?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on August 18?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on August 18?45¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on August 18?6¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current short-range ensemble forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, ECMWF, and GFS models converge on a Moscow high near 22–23°C for August 18 under typical late-summer synoptic conditions. Modest solar insolation, light variable winds, and patchy cloud cover are expected to limit stronger daytime heating, keeping temperatures within the historical 20–24°C climatological range for the date. The near-even split in trader probabilities between 22°C and 23°C reflects this narrow uncertainty band, driven by minor differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing, cloud timing, and any weak frontal influences that could add or subtract 1°C. Lower odds on 24°C or higher underscore model consensus against significant warm advection or clear-sky amplification before resolution.