Highest temperature in Moscow on August 14?
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C or below on August 14?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on August 14?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on August 14?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on August 14?7¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on August 14?21¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on August 14?45¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on August 14?19¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on August 14?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on August 14?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on August 14?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C or higher on August 14?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble guidance places Moscow’s August 14 maximum temperature near 17–19 °C, with 18 °C emerging as the leading outcome at 45 % implied probability. Moderate westerly flow, surface high pressure, and partial cloud cover are limiting daytime heating and warm-air advection, while overnight observations from August 13 show cooler, unsettled conditions that support only modest warming. Typical boundary-layer variability of 1–2 °C around these model means produces the observed clustering, where 17 °C and 19 °C hold secondary probabilities of roughly 20 % and 18 %. Russian Hydrometeorological Centre updates and the next model cycles remain the primary near-term catalysts that could refine these market-implied odds ahead of the daily maximum observation window.