Highest temperature in Moscow on August 13?
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C or below on August 13?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on August 13?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on August 13?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on August 13?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on August 13?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on August 13?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on August 13?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on August 13?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on August 13?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C or higher on August 13?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on August 13?>99¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current meteorological observations and short-term forecasts for Moscow on August 13 indicate a daily maximum near 14°C, with surface temperatures ranging 12–13°C during peak daytime hours under stable high-pressure conditions. Official guidance from agencies including the Finnish Meteorological Institute and Met Office aligns with this range, reflecting cooler-than-average late-summer air masses and limited insolation. Trader consensus at 99.8% implied probability for 14°C incorporates these verified readings and model agreement, while recognizing minor uncertainty from localized variations or measurement timing. A rapid warm advection or forecast revision could still shift the outcome toward 15°C or higher before final data are recorded.