- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on September 8?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on September 8?5¢
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on September 8?28¢
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on September 8?60¢
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on September 8?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C or below on September 8?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on September 8?11¢
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on September 8?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on September 8?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on September 8?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C or higher on September 8?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models indicate a high-pressure ridge over northern Italy will deliver mostly clear skies and light southerly winds on September 8, supporting afternoon temperatures peaking near 32–34 °C in Milan. Current conditions on September 7 already reached 33 °C, providing a warm boundary layer that limits overnight cooling and favors a similar or slightly lower maximum the following day. Ensemble spreads remain narrow around the 32 °C threshold, with only modest disagreement on exact timing of any late-day convective clouds that could cap the peak. Trader positioning at 60 % for 32 °C and 28 % for 31 °C reflects this model consensus while incorporating the small but non-zero chance of a 33 °C reading if insolation persists longer than expected. Updated model runs and official Italian meteorological service guidance tomorrow morning represent the key near-term data points that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.