- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on September 1?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on September 1?28¢
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on September 1?56¢
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on September 1?15¢
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on September 1?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C or below on September 1?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 1?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 1?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 1?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on September 1?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C or higher on September 1?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts from agencies and models including the Met Office, ECMWF ensembles, and regional outputs show Milan highs on September 1 centered near 29–31 °C under high pressure with partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and minimal precipitation risk. This places the daily maximum in the upper portion of the typical early-September climatological range (historical average high near 30–31 °C) amid stable late-summer conditions in the Po Valley. Model consensus and hourly profiles peaking around 30 °C underpin the market’s heavy weighting toward 30 °C and 29 °C outcomes, while the modest probability on 31 °C reflects residual uncertainty in peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing before tomorrow’s final observations resolve the market.