- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C or below on August 31?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on August 31?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on August 31?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on August 31?5¢
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on August 31?34¢
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on August 31?52¢
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on August 31?5¢
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on August 31?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C or higher on August 31?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on August 31?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on August 31?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies are positioning Milan for a daytime maximum near 31–32°C on August 31, driving the market's heaviest volume on 31°C (54%) and 30°C (33.5%). Official forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF consensus, along with agency outlooks, show light westerly winds, minimal cloud cover, and peak heating in the mid-afternoon under dry continental air. This setup aligns with late-August climatology but limits upside risk to 33°C or higher, keeping those outcomes below 2% combined. Minor model spread around boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any thin cirrus accounts for the 30–31°C clustering, with resolution hinging on the official daily maximum recorded at Milan’s primary meteorological station.