- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on August 29?43¢
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C or higher on August 29?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C or below on August 29?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on August 29?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on August 29?39¢
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on August 29?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on August 29?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on August 29?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on August 29?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on August 29?9¢
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on August 29?9¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts from multiple models indicate a peak daytime high in Milan on August 29 likely between 29–31 °C under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and low precipitation chances after today’s thunderstorms. The tight market split between 29 °C and 30 °C reflects uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, which can suppress or allow the temperature to reach the next Celsius threshold; ensemble spreads and local urban heat effects introduce typical 1–2 °C variability around the consensus. Historical late-August climatology shows average highs near 29 °C, supporting the current trader-implied probabilities while noting that any unexpected clearing could push readings toward 31 °C.